PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
2.4% 37.2%+1.5ptLíder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
58 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
522,5 €
Liquidez
9,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Cambio 7d
+2.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
12 ago 26, 14:1711 sept 26, 3:59
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 36,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volumen total
- 6,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 64,4 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 106,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,5 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 45,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Core CPI YoY - August 2026?
- Polymarket cotiza 2.4% al 37% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Core CPI YoY - August 2026?
- Está previsto que Core CPI YoY - August 2026 se resuelva el 11 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Core CPI YoY - August 2026?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Core CPI YoY - August 2026?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.