Probabilidad implícita actual
Pause–Pause–Pause 64.7%-7.0ptLíder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
81 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
12,8 mil €
Liquidez
70,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComments
0
Cambio 7d
+11.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
29 abr 26, 23:5616 sept 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
Mercados abiertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 36,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt66%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,1 M €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.4pt86.1%
- 1 (259.9%
- 2 (50-0.4pt3%
+10 resultados más
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt83.3%
- Exactly 1 cut-1.1pt9.8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt64.4%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.7%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 138,6 mil €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change70.6%
- 25 bps increase23.5%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt3.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed Decision in December?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
- Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)?
- Polymarket cotiza Pause–Pause–Pause al 65% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)?
- Está previsto que Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) se resuelva el 16 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.