In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?
One-OffIAMacro & Economy17aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 52%
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19
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado2 nov 23, 12:30 UTC31 dic 43, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
As per the Twitter debate between Robin Hanson (@robinhanson) and Daniel Colson (@DanielColson6), this question - which was suggested by Daniel - looks to measure the impact of AI on jobs in the US.
- The data used to close the question to yes or no will be FRED's Employment Population Ratio 25-54 yrs. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS12300060
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 52% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%??
- Está previsto que In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2043.
- ¿Cómo se liquida In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As per the Twitter debate between Robin Hanson (@robinhanson) and Daniel Colson (@DanielColson6), this question - which was suggested by Daniel - looks to measure the impact of AI on jobs in the US.