Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030?
InflationCustomEquitiesBusiness & Corporate3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 69.2%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado14 may 26, 13:01 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) ratio, commonly known as the Shiller P/E ratio, reaches a value higher than its previous all-time high at any point before January 1, 2030.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- The primary source for verification will be the data provided by the following website: https://shillerdata.com/.
- The Shiller P/E, or CAPE ratio, is a valuation measure usually applied to the S&P 500 index.
- It is defined as the price of the index divided by the average of ten years of earnings, adjusted for inflation.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 69% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030??
- Está previsto que Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria