Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 73.3%
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Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado13 jun 26, 15:41 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Apparent prior restraint doesn't count; the model must be available to some set of users and then have reduced availability.
- The reduced availability must be on-surface-appearance-obviously due to US government action.
- Exception: Ceasing to support any services in some country (e.g. OpenAI removing a country from https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/supported-countries) does NOT count.
