Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029?

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Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029??

Manifold Markets cotiza The Gini coefficient is less than 0.60 al 92.2% a fecha de 24 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029??

Está previsto que Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029? se resuelva el 14 de febrero de 2029.

¿Cómo se liquida Will the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Freddie deBoer's proposed a bet with Scott Alexander, predicting that all of these 17 conditions will be true: I'm Offering Scott Alexander a Wager About AI's Effects Over the Next Three Years.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+1.0pt95%
• 25 bps increase-2.0pt5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 resultados más

Volumen total

55,7 M €

Volumen 24h

1 M €

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike+2.5pt73.3%
• Hike–Pause–Pause-0.5pt20.8%
• Hike–Hike–Pause+2.0pt3%

+6 resultados más

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes+3.0pt76.2%
• No-3.0pt23.8%

Volumen total

943,1 mil €

Volumen 24h

22 mil €

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.3%97.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above 0.0%98.5%
• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt89.5%

POLYMARKET

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

• 5.3%+0.5pt40%
• 5.4%-2.0pt22%
• 5.5%+4.1pt14%

+11 resultados más

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