Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 85.7%
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28
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado7 mar 26, 15:58 UTC31 jul 29, 10:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
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PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketReglas
At war includes:
- US troops on the ground in Iran
- Ongoing strikes by either side
- Strait of Hormuz closed to most traffic, and US Naval forces in the area
- Routine US overflights or Iran, such as an enforced no-fly zone
- This is based on the status at the time Trump leaves office, not before; if the war pauses and then resumes and is ongoing when Trump leaves, this will resolve Yes, pause notwithstanding.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office??
- Está previsto que Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office? se resuelva el 31 de julio de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: At war includes: