Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
US PoliticsOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 79.4%
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8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado10 abr 26, 18:42 UTC21 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve YES if:
- A triumphal arch is built off one end of the Arlington Bridge, across from the Lincoln Memorial in Washington, D.C
- The arch is similar to the plans discussed in this article (i.e. around 250 feet in height, similar in design -- plans linked here).
- I reserve the right to exercise my discretion in determining whether the final arch is sufficiently similar to this plan.
- Construction is completed by noon on January 20th, 2029, when Trump leaves office.
- It will resolve NO otherwise, including if an arch is built but its design/size are completely different, it is in a substantially different location, or construction has commenced but is not completed.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office??
- Está previsto que Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office? se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve YES if: