Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolíticaChina2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 62.5%
Pronosticadores
48
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado8 nov 24, 20:56 UTC1 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill any municipality in Ontario get amalgamated before Doug Ford leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketReglas
not just the main island but other areas too
- by my judgement
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 291,3 mil €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 63% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office??
- Está previsto que Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: not just the main island but other areas too