Will the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
One-OffReligiónSociedad y culturaManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 63%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado14 abr 26, 4:22 UTC31 dic 99, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf I start identifying as a woman, will it bother me?
Manifold MarketsWill the percentage of philosophers identifying as religious in the next PhilPapers Survey decrease?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, what percentage of Americans will live on less than $40 per day in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Jesus Christ return before 2027
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves yes if at some point before 2100 a credible survey finds that less than 20% of Americans identify as Christian
