Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute
One-OffIATecnologíaCiencia14aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 95.4%
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12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 5 minutos
12 jul 26, 18:40 UTC31 dic 40, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the first AI-driven computation (inference run) that successfully solves one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems is publicly documented or estimated to have cost over $1,000,000 USD in compute resource for inference.
- It resolves to NO if the first successful AI solver's run costs $1,000,000 USD or less, or if the first verified solution is found by a human without the direct output of an AI inference system.
- Definitions and Details:
- Millennium Prize Problems: The six remaining unsolved problems designated by the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI):
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute?
- Está previsto que Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the first run that solves a Millennium Prize Problem cost over $1M in inference compute?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria