PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No release by September 30 71.9%+20.0ptLíder entre 31 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
71 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
11,9 mil €
Liquidez
123,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+11.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
17 ago 26, 23:31 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.