Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 96.3%
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42
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 12 minutos
4 jul 25, 3:25 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if AI is reported by reputable sources to have solved one of the 'Unsolved problems' on this webpage: https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
- Resolves NO otherwise
- Clarification: There should have been no human assistance whatsoever in solving the problem.
- AI-assisted proofs do not count for resolution.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
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- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
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- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
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- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
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- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
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- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030??
- Está previsto que AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if AI is reported by reputable sources to have solved one of the 'Unsolved problems' on this webpage: https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/