Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 90%
Pronosticadores
55
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado10 feb 24, 13:15 UTC31 dic 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
If someone/something manages to manipulate the ASI to proclaim Christianity to be true, that won't count.
- It has to arrive at the conclusion freely.
- A minimum requirement is that it must come to the conclusion that Jesus performed genuine miracles -- although proclaiming Christianity to be true will involve more than just that.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
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+5 resultados más
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
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+3 resultados más
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- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
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- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true??
- Está previsto que Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If someone/something manages to manipulate the ASI to proclaim Christianity to be true, that won't count.