Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 20:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 70.8%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado25 nov 24, 19:03 UTC31 dic 99, 5:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves as a percentage according to the most official figure I can find.
- For reference, this would be 31% as of 2024.
- Resolves NA if human civilization ends before then.