Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.7%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 horas
Desactualizado6 ene 26, 16:27 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Alex O'Connor convert to Christinanity before 2027?
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PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiReglas
If Alex O'Connor (host of the podcast Within Reason) publicly comes around and seriously identifies himself as a Christian before 2027, this will resolve YES.
- Otherwise resolves NO on Jan 1. 2027.
Mercados abiertos
ReligionKALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Volumen total
- 10,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 9,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volumen total
- 56,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 9,2 mil €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 118 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,3 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-0.5pt90%
- Yes+0.5pt10%
- Volumen total
- 797,6 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volumen total
- 674,1 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Volumen total
- 3,1 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Alex O'Connor (host of the podcast Within Reason) publicly comes around and seriously identifies himself as a Christian before 2027, this will resolve YES.