Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 89.7%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado24 dic 25, 4:42 UTC1 ene 27, 4:41 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will biologically generated telepathy be proven to be real by 2030?
Manifold MarketsJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiEpstein client list released by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?
KalshiWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- The FBI has confirmed the alleged letter from Jeffrey Epstein to Larry Nassar is fake, as of December 23, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if any credible evidence emerges that contradicts the FBI's determination and proves the letter is authentic.
- This would require either: (1) a formal reversal of the FBI's conclusion with documented evidence, or (2) independent forensic analysis from a recognized authority that definitively establishes the letter's authenticity.
- The market resolves NO if the FBI's determination stands without credible contradiction.
- A letter appearing to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein to serial sex abuser Larry Nassar, a former Michigan State University doctor, was among documents released by the U.S. Department of Justice, with the letter submitted by the FBI for handwriting analysis on July 31, 2020, after Epstein died in August 2019.