Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 68.7%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado9 sept 26, 19:52 UTC31 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What time at midnight will the Doomsday clock will be in 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketReglas
The Doomsday Clock is a design that warns the public about how close we are to destroying our world with dangerous technologies of our own making.
- It is a metaphor, a reminder of the perils we must address if we are to survive on the planet...
- ...Since 2008, the Science and Security Board has met twice a year to discuss world events and reset the clock as necessary.
- Full timeline of the Doomsday Clock is available here.
- Market will resolve based on press releases/official statements posted here:
- https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.3pt97%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 998,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 667,5 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt36%
- September 309%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 58,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 257,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt22%
- October 31+2.5pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt3%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt96%
- September 25+4.0pt88%
- September 23+7.5pt74%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight by end of January 31st, 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 69% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight by end of January 31st, 2027??
- Está previsto que Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight by end of January 31st, 2027? se resuelva el 31 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight by end of January 31st, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The Doomsday Clock is a design that warns the public about how close we are to destroying our world with dangerous technologies of our own making.