Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 66.2%
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9
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado24 abr 25, 21:34 UTC25 mar 29, 0:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
- Resolves after the next German federal election (scheduled for no later than March 2029, unless early elections are called).
- Definition of "mainstream" Parties:
- Included as "mainstream": CDU/CSU, FDP, SPD, Greens
- Not included as "mainstream": AfD, BSW, Die Linke (Left Party) Other parties will be classified based on their policy positions relative to this spectrum
- "Majority" means collectively holding more than 50% of seats in the Bundestag
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 66% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)?
- Está previsto que Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) se resuelva el 25 de marzo de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?