Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.6%
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404
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado28 dic 25, 5:18 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
This market will resolve YES if it is widely reported that the "AI Bubble" has "bursted" or "popped" by 11:59 PM UTC Dec. 31 2026.
- This could manifest in many different ways: - a sudden drop of the NQINTEL or S&P500 indexes - a halt of capital expenditure and/or VC investment in AI - private AI companies (such as OAI, xAI, Anthropic, etc.) raising at substantially lower valuations than previous rounds, defaulting or shutting down. - governments / big enterprises moving down AI in their priority lists.
- These events need to be widely reported and referred to as an AI crash or similar by trusted news sources such as Bloomberg, NY Times, FT, Reuters, AP, etc. Other reasons for a stock market crash or economic slowdown (tariffs, wars, etc.) will not count.
- Feel free to ask more questions about the criteria.
- I will not trade on this market.
- Update 2026-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Media consensus is the primary resolution criterion.
Mercados abiertos
Trade Policy
KALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 13,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,7 mil €
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156.5%
- October 3130.6%
- September 30+3.0pt13%
+1 resultados más
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 307%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+11.0pt35%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- No+4.0pt77%
- Yes-4.0pt23%
- Volumen total
- 17,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 556,6 €
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-5.0pt72%
- No28%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 543,1 €
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the AI bubble pop in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the AI bubble pop in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the AI bubble pop in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the AI bubble pop in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve YES if it is widely reported that the "AI Bubble" has "bursted" or "popped" by 11:59 PM UTC Dec. 31 2026.