Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.6%
Pronosticadores
79
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado10 nov 25, 12:41 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if a significant decline in AI-related asset valuations occurs during 2026, defined as:
- A sustained 20%+ decline from peak valuations in the "Magnificent Seven" AI stocks (Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, Tesla) during any consecutive 3-month period in 2026, OR
- A 15%+ decline in the Nasdaq-100 index during any consecutive 3-month period in 2026 that is explicitly attributed by major financial media (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, WSJ) to an "AI bubble burst" or similar characterization
- Resolution sources: S&P 500 historical data, Nasdaq-100 data, major financial news outlets
- The market resolves NO if 2026 concludes without meeting these criteria.
Mercados abiertos
Equities
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 182,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 38,9 mil €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt16.7%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-2.0pt14.7%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.8%
+24 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 5,5 M €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.7pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-4.5pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++13.3pt77.9%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.5pt7.7%
- 1T–1.25T-1.3pt5.8%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
- Down+4.5pt73%
- Up-4.5pt27%
- Volumen total
- 16,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 15,1 mil €
- S&P price on Sep 8, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de AI bubble pops in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve AI bubble pops in 2026??
- Está previsto que AI bubble pops in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida AI bubble pops in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria