Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 99.2%
Pronosticadores
46
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
1 jun 26, 13:01 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2028, the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) officially announces that one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, or officially awards the Millennium Prize for its solution.
- The remaining six eligible problems are:
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture
- Hodge conjecture
- Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness
Mercados abiertos
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 57,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 86,7 mil €
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+38.1pt70%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 153,9 mil €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-0.3pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+5.0pt75.5%
- 2-0.5pt21.6%
- 32%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-3.6pt77%
- No23%
- Volumen total
- 286,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,5 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028??
- Está previsto que Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria