Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 85%
Pronosticadores
102
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
1 ene 26, 1:35 UTC2 ene 27, 2:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
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KalshiReglas
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if at least one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems is solved in 2026.
- A problem is considered solved if:
- A complete proof is published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal of worldwide repute, OR
- There is consensus among leading experts in the relevant field that the problem has been solved
- The proof must be published in a refereed mathematics publication of worldwide repute and achieve general acceptance in the mathematics community.
Mercados abiertos
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 57,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 86,7 mil €
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+38.1pt70%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 153,9 mil €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-0.3pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+5.0pt75.5%
- 2-0.5pt21.6%
- 32%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-3.6pt77%
- No23%
- Volumen total
- 286,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,5 mil €
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- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria