Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 93.6%
No 93.6%Pronosticadores
48
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado15 feb 24, 19:05 UTC2 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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FutuurReglas
If reputable sources (ideally the court website itself) reports that a court in UN member state has convicted Sam Altman of a felony before midnight on Jan 1 2027, then this resolves YES.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- If there is somehow significant ambiguity it will resolve N/A.
