Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 96.1%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado4 dic 25, 12:31 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiWill Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.
Manifold MarketsWhen will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
FutuurSam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if a new SpaceX competitor with Sam Altman as CEO / primary backer is launched.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,750 or above99%
- $70,000 or above99%
- $73,000 or above98%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 840,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 823,4 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $70,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $65,000 or above98%
- $64,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 816,8 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 200-219+4.0pt27.4%
- 180-199+2.0pt26.5%
- 220-239+4.0pt19.6%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.6pt13.5%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-0.5pt12.5%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.2pt12.5%
+25 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Chicago+17.0pt93%
- Miami+26.0pt79%
- Seattle+18.0pt26%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 128,2 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
- 40-64+13.0pt63.7%
- 65-89+5.0pt29.4%
- <40-11.1pt4.9%
+7 resultados más
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- ETH price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- BTC 15 min · $76,910.41 target
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Sam Altman Announces SpaceX Competitor by EOY 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 15 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Sam Altman Announces SpaceX Competitor by EOY 2026?
- Está previsto que Sam Altman Announces SpaceX Competitor by EOY 2026 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Sam Altman Announces SpaceX Competitor by EOY 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if a new SpaceX competitor with Sam Altman as CEO / primary backer is launched.