Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 67.9%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado25 jul 25, 17:08 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a data leak of personal information sent to Roblox's age verification system before 2027?
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FutuurTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves yes if I manage to find a news article that describes this (or multiple plausible-seeming Reddit posts).
- Update 2025-07-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the market will resolve to YES if the blackmail incident originates from either of the following sources:
- Breaches of legitimate age verification firms
- People being tricked into sharing face scans (e.g., through scams or phishing)
Mercados abiertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,6 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Volumen total
- 503,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,6 mil €
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
- Volumen total
- 353,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
+2 resultados más
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
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- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will people get blackmailed due to UK's age verification law before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will people get blackmailed due to UK's age verification law before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will people get blackmailed due to UK's age verification law before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will people get blackmailed due to UK's age verification law before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves yes if I manage to find a news article that describes this (or multiple plausible-seeming Reddit posts).