Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked?
One-OffGeopolíticaPolíticaRussia / Ukraine3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 75.6%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado19 jun 24, 16:49 UTC1 ene 27, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution Criteria
- Ukraine Clause: As the countries signed the defense pact after the Russian annexations and invasions of Ukraine, this conflict will not trigger resolutions of this market.
- Definition: For this market, "honor" means providing direct military assistance, such as deploying troops or launching military strikes.
- It does not include providing munitions, technology, or training.
- Trigger Event: An official declaration or widely recognized military engagement by Russia or North Korea in response to a new conflict with a third party.
- Verification: Confirmation from reputable news sources or official government statements.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 76% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked??
- Está previsto que Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia or North Korea honor mutual defense pact if the other is attacked??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria