Will Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?
IAOne-OffTecnología4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 63.9%
Pronosticadores
54
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado9 ene 24, 17:03 UTC1 ene 31, 4:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
Resolves to YES if Microsoft successfully builds and puts into operation a nuclear power plant built for the purpose of powering one of its data centers, or someone else builds and puts into operation such a nuclear power plant for such a purpose.
- Resolves to NO if OpenAI announces it is withholding one or more products from Microsoft's deal due to the AGI exception clause in their contract, or otherwise announces that they have achieved AGI.
- Resolves N/A if neither occurs by the deadline, or it is clear neither will occur by then, as an escape valve.
