Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?
One-OffIA16aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72%
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Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado20 ago 23, 22:09 UTC2 ene 43, 5:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Details in this blog post.
- Barnett wins if:
- By January 1, 2043, real gross world product exceeds 130% of its previous yearly peak value for any single year
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 125,4 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 156,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,1 mil €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 72% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043??
- Está previsto que Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2043.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Details in this blog post.