Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?
InflaciónOne-OffIATecnología2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94%
Pronosticadores
196
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado19 ene 23, 18:31 UTC31 ene 29, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
To summarize:
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Bryan Caplan wins and the AI fails his exams.
- This market resolves to "No" if Matthew Barnett wins and the AI passes Caplan's exam
- Details here: https://betonit.substack.com/p/ai-bet
- By January 30, 2029, Bryan Caplan will give his six most recent midterm exams to an AI selected by Matthew Barnett.
- The AI will be instructed to take those exams.
