Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 86.7%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado20 dic 23, 10:51 UTC7 ene 28, 22:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2029?
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KalshiReglas
Resolves as YES if Kim Jong Un is the leader of North Korea on December 31st 2027.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n-2c7e5cf84f34
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- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n-1244cc6dbed1 (this question)
Mercados abiertos
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.2pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 423,4 mil €
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December7%
- September 30,1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 19,9 M €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.1pt99%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 resultados más
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-1.0pt37.1%
- 310–324-4.2pt23.7%
- 340–354+1.5pt23.7%
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- December 31,68%
- November 30,67%
- October 31,64%
+15 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,4 M €
- Bank of Russia decision in September?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Will Russia target Kyiv on?
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- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027? se resuelva el 7 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if Kim Jong Un is the leader of North Korea on December 31st 2027.