Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 91%
Pronosticadores
29
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado7 ago 25, 18:48 UTC1 ene 00, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves according to mainstream opinion by independent sources.
- The name doesn't have to be exactly "GPT-6", if it is sufficiently different from GPT-5 and strongly advertised as such, I'll count it as GPT-6.
- I'll use Wikipedia's definition of AGI for this market:
- Artificial general intelligence (AGI)—sometimes called human‑level intelligence AI—is a type of artificial intelligence that would match or surpass human capabilities across virtually all cognitive tasks.
- Artificial general intelligence - Wikipedia https://share.google/skCpncfE1HhkzuEQC
- If Open AI stops existing before releasing GPT-6, this market resolves NA.