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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. IA
  3. Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

4.0% (24h)IATecnologíaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
xAI
xAI 16%-4.0%
Líder entre 12 opciones
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

6,3 €

Liquidez

1 mil €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

16.0% / 18.0%

Spread

12.5%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

1 ene 26, 5:011 ene 27, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

xAI16%

PolymarketTambién disponible en Polymarket

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

9.5%6m
Google
Google
+9.5%56%
OpenAI
OpenAI
-0.5%36%
Meta
Meta
14%

+11 resultados más

80 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total30,2 mil €
Volumen 24h512,6 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Reglas

If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Nvidia has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If xAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mistral has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alibaba has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

Mercados Relacionados

Manifold Markets

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

5,9 mil €
Google: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

1,9 mil €
Sí: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

441,4 €
Claude: 67%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

69,3 €
Sí: 89.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year

64,8 €
2025: 0.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Nvidia has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If xAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mistral has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alibaba has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.