KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
OpenAI 36%Líder entre 12 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
71 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,9 mil €
Liquidez
119,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
1 ene 26, 5:01 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
KalshiWill a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
KalshiReglas
If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls)
- If Nvidia has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Mistral has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alibaba has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volumen total
- 241,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 128 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 349,4 mil €
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year??
- Kalshi cotiza OpenAI al 36% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year??
- Está previsto que Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.