Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualAny Reflection AI model 95.6%+45.6ptLíder entre 24 opciones
Pronosticadores
72
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+45.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
30 sept 26, 20:09 UTC31 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiTop AI model this month
KalshiReglas
This market resolves YES for each AI model that receives an official public release during October 2026.
- A release counts as available to users if it is widely made available through official channels (API, web interface, download, or official partnership).
- Subvariants are model releases that share the same tier name (e.g., Flash Preview, Flash Live, Flash Instant, Flash Image all count for "Gemini 3.1 Flash"; 5.5-Thinking, 5.5-Instant, 5.5-Nano, 5.5-Pro all count for "GPT5.5").
- Releases with a distinct tier name (Flash-Lite, Flash, Pro as a separate tier, etc.) do NOT count for an adjacent tier, even within the same model family.
- When in doubt, I'll use the official model name the company uses to classify it.
- Please ask for clarifications.