Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffTecnologíaIASociety & Culture1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.6%
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binary
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Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado10 jun 26, 18:581 feb 28, 0:00
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem pretty legible is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercados abiertos
Tech
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 1, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+49.0pt95.2%
- 75° or below-27.0pt1%
- 80° to 81°-3.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 442,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 433,9 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $69,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $67,000 or above98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
- 200-219+9.0pt27.2%
- 220-239+6.0pt20.4%
- 180-199-1.0pt19.4%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 1, 2026?
- Houston+8.0pt99%
- Miami+23.0pt99%
- New York City+15.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 247 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
- 40-64+12.0pt57.8%
- 65-89+25.0pt38.2%
- 90-114+1.9pt3.9%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhere will Waymo operate in 2026?
- Denver, CO+5.0pt99%
- San Diego, CA+55.0pt98%
- Tampa, FL+15.0pt96%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 1, 2026?
- What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Está previsto que Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.