Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 80.1%
Pronosticadores
115
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 horas
Desactualizado15 ago 23, 0:55 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
Los criterios de resolución aún no están disponibles para este mercado. Las próximas actualizaciones completarán esta sección cuando se hayan guardado las reglas de la fuente.
Mercados abiertos
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- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
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POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
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- Volumen total
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- 7,6 mil €
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
- Volumen total
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- 6 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
+2 resultados más
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
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- Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by which date?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.