Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 56.9%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 26, 14:20 UTC30 sept 27, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Will China July 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if China July 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 50 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending July 2027, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 50 tonnes for July 2027 NO if: Export volume below 50 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
Mercados abiertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 94,7 mil €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 11,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,2 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volumen total
- 356,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 11,9 mil €
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- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China July 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will China July 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes??
- Está previsto que Will China July 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes? se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will China July 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if China July 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 50 tonnes.