Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 57.1%
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
8 abr 26, 14:19 UTC31 mar 27, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will China January 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China January 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if China January 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 20 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending January 2027, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 20 tonnes for January 2027 NO if: Export volume below 20 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)