Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 56.9%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 26, 14:19 UTC31 dic 26, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending October 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 80 tonnes for October 2026 NO if: Export volume below 80 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
Mercados abiertos
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- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 11,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 38,7 mil €
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- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
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- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volumen total
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- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes??
- Está previsto que Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.