Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 51.6%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
8 abr 26, 14:19 UTC31 oct 26, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 50 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending August 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 50 tonnes for August 2026 NO if: Export volume below 50 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)