Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 56.9%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 26, 14:18 UTC30 sept 26, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
This market resolves YES if China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending July 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 80 tonnes for July 2026 NO if: Export volume below 80 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes??
- Está previsto que Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.