Will Canada's new retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods be in force by September 8, 2026?
Trade PolicyOne-OffPolítica12hManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 99%
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16
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Actualizado hace 11 minutos
24 ago 26, 0:46 UTC9 sept 26, 3:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
On 2026-08-21 U.S.-Canada trade talks collapsed.
- The U.S. imposed 50% tariffs on roughly $20B of Canadian exports effective Saturday 2026-08-22.
- Prime Minister Mark Carney said Canada would retaliate "dollar for dollar" with counter-tariffs **starting September 8, 2026**, covering steel, dairy, appliances, agricultural equipment, pulp, paper and electronics. **Resolves YES** if, as of 11:59pm ET on 2026-09-08, the Government of Canada has brought into force any NEW surtax / counter-tariff on U.S.-origin goods announced after the 2026-08-21 collapse of talks — as evidenced by an official Department of Finance Canada notice (canada.ca) or an Order in Council / notice published in the Canada Gazette. **Resolves NO** otherwise — including if the measures are delayed past 2026-09-08, suspended, cancelled, or dropped as part of a negotiated settlement, or if only pre-existing (pre-2026-08-21) Canadian counter-tariffs remain in force.
- Pre-existing retaliatory tariffs already in force before 2026-08-21 do NOT count.
- A formal announcement without the measure actually being in force by the deadline does NOT count.
- Resolution source: Department of Finance Canada / Canada Gazette.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Canada's new retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods be in force by September 8, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Canada's new retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods be in force by September 8, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Canada's new retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods be in force by September 8, 2026? se resuelva el 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Canada's new retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods be in force by September 8, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: On 2026-08-21 U.S.-Canada trade talks collapsed.