Will the U.S. remove its 25% tariffs on most Brazilian goods by the end of 2026?
Política comercialOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.América Latina2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 15:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 81.9%
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6
Tipo de pregunta
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Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado17 jul 26, 4:14 UTC1 ene 27, 6:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market is about the U.S. 25% tariff on most imports from Brazil announced in July 2026 under Section 301.
- CNBC described the tariff as taking effect on July 22, 2026, with exemptions for some goods such as beef, orange juice, aircraft and parts, and energy products.
- Resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. has officially ended, suspended, or reduced this 25% Section 301 tariff so that it no longer applies to most Brazilian goods.
- Resolves NO if, on December 31, 2026, the 25% tariff is still in effect for most Brazilian goods.
- Small product-specific exemptions do not count unless the tariff is broadly removed, suspended, or reduced for most Brazilian goods.