Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 62.8%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado13 sept 26, 12:47 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that Canada–EU annual two-way merchandise trade exceeds C$270 billion in nominal Canadian dollars before January 1st 2040. “Two-way merchandise trade” means the sum of Canadian merchandise exports to the European Union and Canadian merchandise imports from the European Union over a calendar year.
- The EU should be treated using the EU-27 / ex-UK definition in force as of market creation, so later EU accessions or withdrawals do not mechanically change the geographic scope of the market.
- Resolution should primarily use Statistics Canada data, with official EU/Eurostat data or other authoritative government sources usable as corroborating evidence.
- Minor subsequent statistical revisions do not affect resolution once the criterion has clearly been met.
- If no calendar year ending before January 1st 2040 records more than C$270 billion in qualifying trade, the market resolves NO..
