Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Crime & JusticeOne-Off3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 91.2%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado14 dic 24, 5:40 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PredictItReglas
The list consists of 60 people from an appendix in his book, as reported here: https://rollcall.com/2024/12/09/trumps-pick-to-lead-fbi-identified-government-gangsters/
- This question will resolve YES if and only if at least five of those 60 people are incarcerated for any reason as of December 31, 2026 (a little more than two years from the inception of the question).
- Update 2024-14-12 (PST): - Temporary jailing counts towards the resolution criteria - individuals only need to be physically incarcerated on December 31, 2026, regardless of conviction status (AI summary of creator comment)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The list consists of 60 people from an appendix in his book, as reported here: https://rollcall.com/2024/12/09/trumps-pick-to-lead-fbi-identified-government-gangsters/