Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Crimen y justiciaOne-Off2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 91.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado14 dic 24, 5:40 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The list consists of 60 people from an appendix in his book, as reported here: https://rollcall.com/2024/12/09/trumps-pick-to-lead-fbi-identified-government-gangsters/
- This question will resolve YES if and only if at least five of those 60 people are incarcerated for any reason as of December 31, 2026 (a little more than two years from the inception of the question).
- Update 2024-14-12 (PST): - Temporary jailing counts towards the resolution criteria - individuals only need to be physically incarcerated on December 31, 2026, regardless of conviction status (AI summary of creator comment)