PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualDecember 31 32%+0.5ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
69 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
56,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
31.0% / 32.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-9.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
December 3132%
Comparar plataformas· December 31
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general85% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 30% | — | 2,2 mil € | 704,9 mil € | hace 10 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Media | 32% | — | 1,3 mil € | 56,9 mil € | hace 10 minutos |
También disponible en Kalshi
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
1.0 pts3m
30%
-1.0pt18%
+1.0pt16%
+4 resultados más
74 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total1,7 M €
Volumen 24h2,2 mil €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.0k68.6%POLYMARKETKash Patel out by December 31? — NoBunter.Hidenanteayer
POLYMARKETKash Patel out by December 31? — NoBunter.Hidenanteayer$1.2k61.7%POLYMARKETKash Patel out by December 31? — NoKnureKnumehace 7 d
POLYMARKETKash Patel out by December 31? — NoKnureKnumehace 7 d$5.0k94.6%KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — Nohace 10 d
KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — Nohace 10 d$6.1k94.9%KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — Nohace 12 d
KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — Nohace 12 d$1.2k86.0%KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — Nohace 16 d
KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — Nohace 16 dTendencia de volumen
$1.5k2 jul26d de datos27 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.