Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 22 oct 2026, 8:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualDecember 31 20%+1.0ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado1 oct 26, 0:43 UTC13 ene 27, 0:42 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Kash Patel out by which date?
PolymarketKash Patel out as FBI Director?
KalshiKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office by November 4, 2026?
PredictItKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve identically to this Polymarket market: Kash Patel out by the named outcome?
- Polymarket rules:
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.