Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out?
FedOne-OffIATecnologíaEntretenimiento3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.3%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado20 nov 23, 20:48 UTC2 ene 27, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Because the resolution criteria are somewhat subjective, I will not be trading in this market.
- Basically trying to answer this as a reasonable person would:
- I'm imagining a movie that looks like a live-action film; cartoons don't count.
- It should clearly depict the story of OpenAI's firing-Sama drama, etc. I think it's okay if the script was written by a human who fed it to a model that produced the movie.
- It would be nice, of course, if the script were mostly generated by an LLM, but that part is doable with the right prompt engineering using current technology, so it shouldn't be part of the resolution criteria.
Mercados abiertos
Fed
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- 34,7 M €
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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
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POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
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- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.9pt91%
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+18 resultados más
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- 7,6 M €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out??
- Está previsto que Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Because the resolution criteria are somewhat subjective, I will not be trading in this market.