Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 93%
Pronosticadores
29
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado7 mar 26, 15:21 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Congress formally declares war on Iran through a joint resolution, as specified in Article One, Section Eight of the Constitution.
- Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war since World War II, instead relying on authorizations for use of military force (AUMFs).
- For this market, only a formal declaration of war legislation explicitly using the phrase "declaration of war" counts as YES.
- An AUMF or military action without a formal declaration resolves NO.
- The market resolves by December 31,
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026?
- Está previsto que Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria