Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 55%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado7 ene 25, 16:28 UTC1 ene 50, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution Criteria:
- The question will resolve to YES if at least one of the following occurs:
- The broader unemployment rate (U-6) reaches 25% or higher
- The labor force participation rate drops by 25% or more from its 2024 baseline of 62.5%.
- In this context the LFPR should fall to 46.9% or lower.
- This question is concerned with lost jobs and not the number of hours worked per week.
